Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.768976 4.017289 4.281388 4.584511 4.924477 5.295976 5.735352
2025-10-12 3.421720 3.777144 4.178237 4.669845 5.263950 5.969357 6.887211
2025-10-19 3.205108 3.620625 4.108592 4.734877 5.534456 6.547018 7.972912
2025-10-26 3.023276 3.474250 4.019996 4.745965 5.714698 7.009711 8.965854
2025-11-02 2.841276 3.306773 3.882895 4.670576 5.758908 7.279508 9.718396
2025-11-09 2.671928 3.140217 3.730003 4.554052 5.725175 7.422750 10.290759
2025-11-16 2.544948 3.017920 3.623294 4.486526 5.746866 7.640929 11.014972
2025-11-23 2.470283 2.957561 3.592167 4.517440 5.909578 8.090023 12.227595
2025-11-30 2.398433 2.895804 3.553587 4.532027 6.045303 8.509734 13.486745
2025-12-07 2.281916 2.768154 3.416809 4.392734 5.926396 8.482297 13.844799
2025-12-14 2.186410 2.664635 3.308079 4.287217 5.850838 8.518874 14.345768
2025-12-21 2.123130 2.602099 3.253281 4.258095 5.895070 8.772946 15.396544
2025-12-28 2.070408 2.553574 3.218234 4.260299 5.997715 9.162301 16.933290
2026-01-04 2.041568 2.537072 3.228390 4.333426 6.229368 9.841859 19.517798
2026-01-11 2.010358 2.515442 3.229261 4.390863 6.438412 10.514417 22.457200
2026-01-18 1.968568 2.476725 3.202392 4.400659 6.560753 11.024674 25.212621
2026-01-25 1.909783 2.411256 3.132192 4.334009 6.532736 11.192246 26.877108
2026-02-01 1.845279 2.335390 3.043206 4.230832 6.425820 11.159945 27.772091
2026-02-08 1.795223 2.279016 2.981811 4.170949 6.398074 11.314478 29.574926
2026-02-15 1.769271 2.256984 2.972081 4.198372 6.544888 11.927624 34.002371
2026-02-22 1.741303 2.230925 2.954813 4.211307 6.663338 12.494752 38.918230
2026-03-01 1.683272 2.158573 2.862543 4.087661 6.488702 12.244520 38.932046
2026-03-08 1.634564 2.099012 2.788746 3.993804 6.370776 12.138110 39.847217